Reviewing the Jacksonville Jaguars 2009 Season

Maurice Jones-Drew #32 of the Jacksonville Jaguars (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)

In some ways, the 2009 season was a rebound year for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Following a playoff appearance in 2007, they fell to 5-11 in 2008, and Jack del Rio was rumored to be on the hot seat heading into the 2009 season. Although the Jags started the season 3-3, winning 3 of their next four games showed that they seemed to be headed in the right direction with a 6-4 record. Unfortunately, they dropped 5 of the last 6 to finish 7-9. In my continuing series on 2009 NFL Season Reviews, we’ll try to determine what aspects of the team led to that downfall. We’ll also discuss what positions the Jags may want to target to improve for next season.

Before going further, you should take a look at the Season Reviews Informational Post, if you haven’t already. It describes the methodology and data presented in the following tables. Now that you have reviewed the methodology behind this data, let’s take a look at the data, and I will discuss it below. 

Team Offense Value Rank   Team Defense Value Rank
Points 290 24   Points 380 24
Yards 5385 18   Yards 5637 23
Cmp 315   Cmp 345
Att 519   Att 510
Pass Yards 3356 19   Pass Yards 3774 27
NY/A 6 18   NY/A 7.2 30
Pass TD 15 27   Pass TD 28 26
Pass INTs 10 4   Pass INTs 15 16
Rush Yards 2029 10   Rush Yards 1863 19
Rush TD 19 6   Rush TD 12 14
Y/A 4.5 6   Y/A 4.1 12
Sacks 44 T-25   Sacks 14 32

Table 1: Season Overview


Jax Pts Opp D
Opp Pts Opp O
Opp Score Avg Pt Diff1 Score Avg Pt Diff2
Indianapolis Colts 12 19.19 -7.19 14 26 -12
Arizona Cardinals 17 20.31 -3.31 31 23.44 7.56
Houston Texans 31 20.81 10.19 24 24.25 -0.25
Tennessee Titans 37 25.13 11.88 17 22.13 -5.13
Seattle Seahawks 0 24.38 -24.38 41 17.5 23.5
St. Louis Rams 23 27.25 -4.25 20 10.94 9.06
Tennessee Titans 13 25.13 -12.13 30 22.13 7.88
Kansas City Chiefs 24 26.5 -2.5 21 18.38 2.63
New York Jets 24 14.75 9.25 22 21.75 0.25
Buffalo Bills 18 20.38 -2.38 15 16.13 -1.13
San Francisco 49ers 3 17.56 -14.56 20 20.63 -0.63
Houston Texans 23 20.81 2.19 18 24.25 -6.25
Miami Dolphins 10 24.38 -14.38 14 22.5 -8.5
Indianapolis Colts 31 19.19 11.81 35 26 9
New England Patriots 7 17.81 -10.81 35 26.69 8.31
Cleveland Browns 17 23.44 -6.44 23 15.31 7.69
Sum Difference     -57     42

Table 2: Points Comparison


Jax Yds Opp D
Opp Yds Opp O
Opp Gained Avg Yd Diff1 Gained Avg Yd Diff2
Indianapolis Colts 228 339.19 -111.19 365 363.06 1.94
Arizona Cardinals 367 346.44 20.56 383 344.38 38.63
Houston Texans 399 324.88 74.13 397 383.06 13.94
Tennessee Titans 442 365.63 76.38 379 351.44 27.56
Seattle Seahawks 199 356.44 -157.44 379 316.81 62.19
St. Louis Rams 492 372.81 119.19 262 279.38 -17.38
Tennessee Titans 330 365.63 -35.63 430 351.44 78.56
Kansas City Chiefs 426 388.19 37.81 301 303.19 -2.19
New York Jets 347 252.31 94.69 322 321 1
Buffalo Bills 310 340.56 -30.56 343 273.88 69.13
San Francisco 49ers 357 326.38 30.63 284 290.75 -6.75
Houston Texans 323 324.88 -1.88 305 383.06 -78.06
Miami Dolphins 217 349.31 -132.31 354 337.56 16.44
Indianapolis Colts 345 339.19 5.81 369 363.06 5.94
New England Patriots 275 320.19 -45.19 464 397.31 66.69
Cleveland Browns 328 389.31 -61.31 300 260.19 39.81
Sum Difference     -116.31     317.44

Table 3: Yards Comparison


Jax P-Yd Opp D
Opp P-Yd Opp O
Opp Gained Avg Pa Diff1 Gained Avg Pa Diff2
Indianapolis Colts 114 212.69 -98.69 294 282.19 11.81
Arizona Cardinals 275 233.69 41.31 265 251 14
Houston Texans 214 217.94 -3.94 286 290.88 -4.88
Tennessee Titans 305 258.69 46.31 284 189.44 94.56
Seattle Seahawks 161 245.44 -84.44 236 218.94 17.06
St. Louis Rams 326 235.25 90.75 207 167.88 39.13
Tennessee Titans 113 258.69 -145.69 125 189.44 -64.44
Kansas City Chiefs 253 231.69 21.31 241 182.63 58.38
New York Jets 208 153.69 54.31 212 148.75 63.25
Buffalo Bills 208 184.25 23.75 290 157.19 132.81
San Francisco 49ers 261 229.38 31.63 232 190.75 41.25
Houston Texans 216 217.94 -1.94 233 290.88 -57.88
Miami Dolphins 122 234.63 -112.63 208 198.13 9.88
Indianapolis Colts 206 212.69 -6.69 308 282.19 25.81
New England Patriots 177 209.69 -32.69 267 277.25 -10.25
Cleveland Browns 197 244.69 -47.69 86 129.75 -43.75
Sum Difference     -225     326.75

Table 4: Pass Yards Comparison


Jax R-Yd Opp D
Opp R-Yd Opp O
Opp Gained Avg Ru Diff1 Gained Avg Ru Diff2
Indianapolis Colts 114 126.5 -12.5 71 80.88 -9.88
Arizona Cardinals 92 112.75 -20.75 118 93.38 24.63
Houston Texans 185 106.94 78.06 111 92.19 18.81
Tennessee Titans 137 106.94 30.06 95 162 -67
Seattle Seahawks 38 111 -73 143 97.88 45.13
St. Louis Rams 166 137.56 28.44 55 111.5 -56.5
Tennessee Titans 217 106.94 110.06 305 162 143
Kansas City Chiefs 173 156.5 16.5 60 120.56 -60.56
New York Jets 139 98.63 40.38 110 172.25 -62.25
Buffalo Bills 102 156.31 -54.31 53 116.69 -63.69
San Francisco 49ers 96 97 -1 52 100 -48
Houston Texans 107 106.94 0.06 72 92.19 -20.19
Miami Dolphins 95 114.69 -19.69 146 139.44 6.56
Indianapolis Colts 139 126.5 12.5 61 80.88 -19.88
New England Patriots 98 110.5 -12.5 197 120.06 76.94
Cleveland Browns 131 144.63 -13.63 214 130.44 83.56
Sum Difference     108.69     -9.31

Table 5: Rush Yards Comparison

Looking at Table 1, the first thing that jumps out at me is that Jacksonville only sacked opposing QBs 14 times, worst in the league. In fact, it was one of the worst seasons in the last 30-40 years in terms of defensive sacks. So, at first glance it seems that pass rusher is the biggest weakness and highest need for Jacksonville this year. The main strength of the team looks like rushing offense.

Looking at the points and yardage comparisons, it seems that both offense and defense were below average in terms of how they matched up with opposing teams’ seasonal averages. Neither were horrible, but neither was an overall strength either. It’s when we break it down by passing and rushing that we see a better indication of where the strengths and weaknesses lie.

Both passing offense and passing defense were relative weaknesses for this team while rushing offense and defense were relative strengths. I suppose this makes sense as a reflection of del Rio’s desire to be a physically dominating team that can run and stop the run when needed. I guess the problem for him is that while both were strengths, neither were elite.

So, that comes back to the question of what direction might they target in this year’s draft? As I said earlier, that sack total is very low, so they may target an elite pass rusher. On the other hand, the passing game needs some help too. But, is there really a top ten worthy WR coming out this year? It seems that they most likely will try to continue to improve the defense, either by looking for an edge rusher, or trying to get a disruptive force in the middle. It may be unlikely that an elite DT is available when they pick, but that would improve the rush defense and should help the outside rush as well by tying up 2-3 blockers in the interior of the line.

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