Archive for the ‘NFL Game Reviews’ Category

Saints win First Super Bowl! Reviewing the Box Score

February 8, 2010

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - FEBRUARY 07: Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after defeating the Indianapolis Colts during Super Bowl XLIV on February 7, 2010 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Scott Boehm/Getty Images)

As we all now know, the New Orleans Saints won their first title in franchise history by beating the Indianapolis Colts 31-17 in Super Bowl XLIV. In a game of twists and turns that seemed like it could very easily be a Colts blow-out early on, New Orleans made some bold calls and had a very timely defensive TD to secure their first Lombardi trophy. Reviewing the box score, this really was an evenly played game until near the very end. Although the Colts outgained the Saints by 100 yards, 81 of those yards came on the final drive following Tracy Porter’s 74 yard interception return for a touchdown. So, those 81 were at a point when the game was pretty much decided. Certainly, there are tons of game recaps out there, but in this post I just wanted to take a look at the numbers and throw out some thoughts based on those numbers.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Eagles-Giants Game Week 14

December 17, 2009

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 13: DeSean Jackson #10 of the Philadelphia Eagles catches a ball on his way to scoring a touchdown against Aaron Ross #31 of the New York Giants at Giants Stadium on December 13, 2009 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

I haven’t written a game review in a while, but the matchup this past weekend between the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants interested me enough to want to write another one. In a game that appeared to be headed for an Eagles blowout, the Giants fought back valiantly in the second half and even took the lead after scoring 14 points to start the third quarter. But, from there, the Eagles took back control of the game, scoring the next 15 points to take a 14 point lead. The Giants scored a final touchdown in the last two minutes, but that proved to be too little, too late in what was surely one of the most exciting games of the season.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Pats-Colts Game Week 9

November 16, 2009
brady-manning

INDIANAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 15: Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts greets Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots after the game at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 15, 2009 in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Colts won the game 35-34. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

On Sunday Night Football, the New England Patriots traveled to Indianapolis to face the Colts. If Brett Favre had stayed retired, this would clearly have been the marquee game of this season. As it was, this game played out to be perhaps the most exciting finish this season. In a game where Tom Brady and the Pats appeared to be in control, a late gamble gave Peyton Manning and the Colts a short field and ultimately the 35-34 victory. Since you can get the game recaps plenty of places, here we will take a look at the teams stats and compare them with their opponents averages to this point in the season.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Panthers-Cowboys Game

September 29, 2009
ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 28:  Tony Romo #9 of the Dallas Cowboys passes against the Carolina Panthers at Cowboys Stadium on September 28, 2009 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 28: Tony Romo #9 of the Dallas Cowboys passes against the Carolina Panthers at Cowboys Stadium on September 28, 2009 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Last night on Monday Night Football, the Carolina Panthers and Dallas Cowboys played the second game ever in Cowboys Stadium. Both teams were in need of a win, for Carolina to avoid an 0-3 start and Dallas to avoid starting 0-2 in their new home. After the Panthers shut out the Cowboys in the first half for a 7-0 lead, Dallas returned the favor on their way to a 21-0 win. But, what can the numbers tell us about how it happened? As I have done with several games in this season, here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: 49ers-Vikings Game

September 28, 2009
MINNEAPOLIS - SEPTEMBER 27: Brett Favre #4 of the Minnesota Vikings is chased out of the pocket by Pat Williams #94 of the San Francisco 49ers at the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome on September 27, 2009 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

MINNEAPOLIS - SEPTEMBER 27: Brett Favre #4 of the Minnesota Vikings is chased out of the pocket by Justin Smith #94 of the San Francisco 49ers at the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome on September 27, 2009 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

On Sunday afternoon, the San Francisco 49ers and Minnesota Vikings played a game that went down to the wire, with a last second Brett Favre TD pass sealing the win for Minnesota. In a game where the 49ers seemed have pulled the road upset, Favre proved that the Vikings made the right decision to convince him to come out of retirement one more time. Minnesota needed an unbelievable play win this close game. By looking at the statistics, can that help understand what these two teams did to get that point? As I have done with several games in this season, here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Titans-Jets Game

September 28, 2009
Tim Larsen/Associated Press

Tim Larsen/Associated Press

On Sunday afternoon, the Tennessee Titans and New York Jets played in a game where the roles most expected coming into the season were reversed. The Jets were 2-0 coming in, while the Titans were 0-2 in much need of a win. The Jets won another close game, but how did each team look compared to what we would expect statistically? As I have done with several games in this season, here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Jets-Patriots Game

September 22, 2009
Nick Laham / Getty Images

Nick Laham / Getty Images

On Sunday afternoon, the New England Patriots and New York Jets played a game that had been prefaced by much talk, mainly from the Jets’ side. Given the past fate of teams making similar comments to Kerry Rhodes’ victory guarantee, many people considered the Patriots heavy favorites. Few expected the Jets to repeat their Week 1 success against the Texans. The Jets won a hard-fought, close game, but how did each team look compared to what we would expect statistically? As I did with a few games last week, here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Steelers-Bears Game

September 21, 2009
(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

On Sunday afternoon, the Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears met for a game in which the Steelers were considered by many to be heavy favorites. However, there were also those who called this a must-win game for the Bears, already in this young season. As we now know, the Bears won a hard-fought, close game, but how did each team look compared to what we would expect statistically? As I did with a few games last week, here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

(more…)

Checking the Numbers: Chargers-Raiders Game

September 16, 2009
On Monday night, the San Diego Chargers and Oakland Raiders met for a game in which the Chargers were heavy favorites. With solid fundamental football, the Raiders held San Diego in check for much of the game. But, with time growing short, quarterback Philip Rivers led his team on the game winning drive, capped off by Darren Sproles’ TD run with 18 seconds left. There are plenty of recaps out there reviewing the game, but here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

Checking the Numbers: Bills-Patriots Game

September 16, 2009
(Elsa/Getty) Tom Brady leads the Patriots back to beat the Bills with a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown passes.

(Elsa/Getty) Tom Brady leads the Patriots back to beat the Bills with a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown passes.

On Monday night, the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills matched up for a game expected to be an easy win for the Pats. Surprisingly, the Bills held an 11 point lead late in the game, but some Tom Brady heroics combined with an untimely fumble on a kick return did in the Bills for a 12th straight time against New England. There are plenty of recaps out there reviewing the game, but here I wanted to look at this game from my own analytical perspective.

(more…)